Friday, September 13, 2013

Revisiting NBA 2K13's Rookie Ratings

2K Sports has hyping up their "Dynamic Rosters" and partnership with Stats Inc for NBA 2K14 ad-nausea.  I'll be keeping a close eye on the frequency of 2K's roster updates throughout the year, particularly for lesser-knowns with limited data available (i.e. rookies).

Here's a reminder of just how lazy 2K Sports has been regarding rookies.

Picks 1-10
79 - Anthony Davis (NC) - 21.7 PER
77 - Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (NC) - 14.0 PER
75 - Bradley Beal (NC) - 13.6 PER
77 - Dion Waiters (+6) - 13.7 PER
75 - Thomas Robinson (NC) - 10.9 PER
82 - Damian Lillard (+12) - 16.4 PER
75 - Harrison Barnes (NC) - 11.0 PER
71 - Terrence Ross (-1) - 10.4 PER
70 - Andre Drummond (+11) - 21.6 PER
71 - Austin Rivers (+4) - 5.9 PER (Due to position change from PG to SG)

Picks 11-20
59 - Meyers Leonard (NC) - 12.1 PER
71 - Jeremy Lamb (NC) - 11.2 PER
65 - Kendall Marshall (NC) - 7.8 PER
62 - John Henson (NC) - 18.2 PER
73 - Maurice Harkless (+7) - 12.5 PER
67 - Royce White (-1) - DNP
65 - Tyler Zeller (NC) - 11.0 PER
59 - Terrence Jones (NC) - 17.1 PER
69 - Andrew Nicholson (NC) - 15.1 PER
66 - Evan Fournier (+8) - 13.8 PER

Picks 21-30
72 - Jared Sullinger (+3) - 13.5 PER
51 - Fab Melo (NC) - 4.9 PER
61 - John Jenkins (NC) - 13.0 PER
66 - Jared Cunningham (NC) - 14.8 PER
66 - Tony Wroten (+4) - 9.3 PER (Due to position change from PG to SG)
55 - Miles Plumlee (NC) - 8.8 PER
61 - Arnett Moultrie (NC) - 16.7 PER
60 - Perry Jones (NC) - 7.8 PER
68 - Marquis Teague (NC) - 6.0 PER
52 - Festus Ezeli (NC) - 9.2 PER

Picks 31-40
65 - Jeff Taylor (NC) - 10.3 PER
53 - Bernard James (NC) - 14.7 PER
67 - Jae Crowder (+1) - 10.2 PER
61 - Draymond Green (NC) - 7.1 PER
69 - Orlando Johnson (NC) - 11.4 PER
62 - Quincy Acy (NC) - 15.9 PER
61 - Quincy Miller (NC) - 5.9 PER
60 - Khris Middleton (NC) - 11.4 PER
61 - Will Barton (NC) - 9.1 PER

Picks 41-50
67 - TyShawn Taylor (NC) - 6.2 PER
63 - Doron Lamb (NC) - 4.8 PER
61 - Mike Scott (NC) - 16.3 PER
59 - Kim English (NC) - 7.9 PER
62 - Darius Miller (NC) - 6.3 PER
X - Kevin Murphy - Negative 4.5 PER (NEVER ADDED)
58 - Kyle O'Quinn (-1) - 15.8 PER (Due to position change from PF to C)

Picks 51-60
63 - Kris Joseph (NC) - 0.6 PER
56 - Tornike Shengelia (NC) - 8.5 PER
68 - Darius Johnson-Odom (NC) - Negative 6.7 PER
60 - Robert Sacre (NC) - 3.4 PER

Aside from numerous rating inaccuracies, here are some notes to take from this data:

  • 37 rookies experienced no ratings change.
  • Only 9 rookies saw ratings change (not including position-based OVR changes)
  • Only 5 rookies saw "major" change (+/- 5 Overall): Dion Waiters, Damian Lillard, Andre Drummond, Maurice Harkless, and Evan Fournier.
  • Only 2 rookie saw ratings decrease: Terrence Ross and Royce White (who didn't even play a game).
  • Only 1 second rounder saw ratings change: Jae Crowder (+1)
  • There was 1 player never even added to the game during the year: Kevin Murphy
  • Only 2 rookies saw more than one update throughout the season: Damian Lillard and Andre Drummond

One can only hope that Stats Inc will churn out a better product than what 2K Sports has been putting out over the past decade.

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